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El estudio consiste en un análisis probabilista del riesgo de huracanes considerando los efectos del cambio climático. En el estudio se comparan los resultados de pérdidas esperadas en infraestructura pública y privada causadas por huracanes, considerando escenarios de cambio climático.  El estudio analiza el posible impacto de huracanes con diferentes periodos de recurrencia, desde 50 años hasta 1000 años. Además de los valores para el conjunto del país, el estudio efectúa análisis específicos de la Ciudad de Guatemala, Ocós, Zacapa, Santiago de Atitlán, Los Pocitos y Puerto Barrios. Así mismo, cada ciudad fue analizada en base al departamento, sector, sistema estructural, uso, categoría y nivel socioeconómico de la infraestructura.

This analytical report proposes and estimates a default risk model for agricultural lenders, which explicitly accounts for two risks that are endemic to agricultural activities: commodity price volatility and climate. The results indicate that both factors are relevant in explaining the occurrence of default in the portfolio of a rural bank. In addition, the paper illustrates how to integrate the default risk model into standard techniques of portfolio credit risk modeling. The portfolio credit risk model provides a quantitative tool to estimate the loss distribution and the economic capital for a rural bank. The estimated parameters of the default risk model, along with scenarios for the evolution of the risk factors, are used to construct stress tests on the portfolio of a rural bank. These stress tests indicate that climate factors have a larger effect on economic capital than commodity price volatility.

This analytical report published by Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) estimates the effects of epidemic outbreaks on health vulnerability. The model proposed is empirically tested for five countries in Latin America, where dengue is a national health priority. Using data from national censuses, satellite climate information and data from a newly developed disease outbreak surveillance online platform, the paper finds that climate has non-negligible effects on health vulnerability. The evidence found and the vulnerability index constructed can be used to analyze the main determinants of vulnerability in order to address policy concerns.

This analytical paper published by Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) studies the link between severe weather shocks in Colombia and municipality-level incidence of dengue and malaria. The unexpectedly high variability of the 2010 rainfalls relative to previous periods and their regional heterogeneity are exploited as an identification strategy. The results confirm that the relationship between climate events and vector-borne diseases is intricate. The 2010 weather shocks are associated with not only an increase in the number of dengue cases but also with a decrease in its incidence (particularly in the presence of extreme rain events). Floods seem to have decreased the number of dengue cases.

This analytical report published by Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) outlines four key climate-smart agriculture techniques: conservation agriculture (tillage, cover crops, and rotation), irrigation, agroforestry, and soil conservation structures. The report examines the results of current research on the effects of these techniques, their gaps and limitations, and the extent to which they have been adopted in Latin America. The analysis presents how better to design projects promoting climate-smart agriculture and assesses their future impact on Latin American farmers.

This analytical report published by Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) uses year-to-year variation in temperature to estimate the long-term effects of climate change on health outcomes in Mexico. Combining temperature data at the district level and three rounds of nationally representative household surveys, an individual’s health as an adult is matched with the history of heat waves from birth to adulthood.  It is shown that exposure to higher temperatures early in life has negative consequences on adult height. Most importantly, the effects are concentrated at the times where children experience growth spurts (infancy and adolescence). 

This analytical report published by Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) attempts to identify the climatic effect on birth outcomes in Brazil. Panel data models indicate that excess and lack of rainfall have the most important harmful effects on newborns’ health (temperature stresses and low relative humidity also have effects). The use of climate change forecasts for Brazil suggests a possible increase of 305 neonatal deaths annually and three thousand additional low-weight births each year. The paper further examines public policy’s role in minimizing the effects of extreme weather. 

This analytical report published by Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) identifies the climate impacts on dengue risk in Brazil by using a comparative case study on the synthetic controls approach. The results suggest that dengue is more prevalent in warmer regions, but the humidity conditions and amount of rainfall seem fundamental for increase of the diseases prevalence in temperate climate regions or drier tropical regions of the country. Due to expected climate changes in the future, the dengue fever distribution in the country might change, which requires public policy to minimize these effects.

This manual is published by Mitigation of Climate Change in Agriculture (MICCA) programme in Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Mitigation of Climate Change in Agriculture. The report describes the negative environmental impacts (greenhouse gas emission) caused by peatland drainage and presents the practical management system to reduce these negative impacts with several case studies. 

This visual aid presents data provided by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) emissions database. The data presented concerns the emissions from agriculture, forestry and other land use, including which are the largets emitters of greenhouse gases, by activity or region.

This analytical report charts the intimate interaction of climate change with other key issues on the global agenda, and identifies the requirement this places on governments and international agencies to develop a new level of policy coherence. It warns business that both the success or failure of climate policy will transform the landscape of risk and opportunity for investment. The report further urges the faster and more imaginative development of partnerships between governments, international agencies, businesses and civil society organizations.

This analytical document presents the business case for private sector adaptation to climate change in ways that build the resilience of vulnerable communities in developing countries – and provides useful guidance to business leaders and policymakers alike.

This technical document presents ten case examples on climate change adaptation that underscore private sector strengths in identifying new business opportunities, creating new markets, and recognizing and managing risks that are critical in building resilient businesses and communities.

This technical document sets baseline expectations for companies to provide proactive and constructive input to governments to advocate for the creation of effective climate policies. It connects the dots between sustainability commitments, such as emissions reductions across their value chains and efficiency improvements, with corporate policy positions.

The Business Leadership Criteria on Carbon Pricing is designed to inspire companies to reach the next level of climate performance and to advocate for a price on carbon as a necessary and effective measure to tackle the climate change challenge. The criteria comprise three overlapping dimensions: first, setting an internal carbon price; second, responsible policy advocacy; and third, communicating on progress.

This executive brochure captures why and how your company can align with science based targets. The time is right for companies around the world to demonstrate leadership on climate action by aligning corporate voluntary greenhouse gas reduction targets with climate science. Leading companies are taking action to mitigate climate-related risks and capture the economic opportunities from a low-carbon transition.

This analytical report was prepared by WFP and the Ministry of Economic Development under C-ADAPT, a strategic global initiative that aims to strengthen the capacity of WFP and partners to deliver climate services to the most vulnerable and food insecure communities and build resilience to climate-related risks through effective climate risk analysis, adaptation planning, and risk management.

This analytical report explores the historical relationships between climate and food security indicators and also analyses the sensitivities of livelihoods to climate risks in Senegal and uses this information to identify who is potentially most at risk. This type of work is instrumental, not only in advancing the climate change and food security dialogue in Senegal, but also in providing concrete inputs for adaptation planning.

This analytical report examines the historical relationships between climate and food security in Nepal. It also analyses the ways in which livelihoods are affected by climate risks. Finally, it uses this information to identify priorities for interventions. It aims to not only help advance the climate change and food security dialogue in Nepal, but also provide concrete inputs for adaptation planning to build resilience in the most vulnerable regions of the country.

This analytical report examines how the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change work plan on Loss & Damage relates to food security and livelihoods, and proposes recommendations for managing loss and damage based on evidence from Asian countries.